Watch Market Report: Rolex Reference Splits Drive Asks

The Rolex Datejust 41 126334 is the largest single-reference cluster, with 26 listings and a $13,875 median ask. Several other references carry spreads that the median hides.

Covers 24 hours through November 12, 2026.

The short version: Medians hide splits on the Oyster Perpetual 126000 and Milgauss 116400GV. Sort by dial and year before you compare a price.

Rolex asks by reference: where the spreads sit

The Datejust 41 126334 shows 26 listings at a $13,875 median ask. The middle half runs $13,050 to $14,650. The 126333 is less settled: 13 listings, $15,550 median, $14,800 to $17,250 in the middle half. Counts are post occurrences, so cross-posting inflates both.

The Cosmograph Daytona 126500LN has 12 listings at a $33,250 median. Individual asks run from $24,150 to $36,250. The Batgirl (126710BLNR) has 11 listings at $18,250, with asks from $14,950 to $19,700. The Daytona 116500LN median is $27,500 and the set mix is mostly watch-only, so keep it away from full-set comps.

Two references are really two markets. The Oyster Perpetual 126000 has a $9,000 median across 12 listings. Standard examples ask $8,750 to $9,000. Brand-new 2026 examples ask $13,300 to $14,600. The Milgauss 116400GV median is $10,850 across 9 listings. Black-dial examples ask $10,790 to $10,850 and Z-Blue examples ask $14,450 to $14,850. Each median lands on the cheaper group.

Only one row has a buyer budget. The Day-Date 40 228235 has 8 listings at a $62,000 median ask, against a $60,500 budget for a 2026 brand-new-in-box example. That is a 2 percent gap. It comes from one wanted post, so it describes one buyer and not a market.

The Day-Date 40 228238 is wider. Its median ask is $43,300 across 8 listings, with asks from $38,500 for watch and card to $63,000 for a brand-new complete set.

ModelMedian askAsk rangeListingsFull set
Rolex Datejust 41 126334$13,875$13,050 to $14,65026mixed
Rolex Datejust 41 126333$15,550$14,800 to $17,25013mostly full set
Rolex Cosmograph Daytona 126500LN$33,250$29,750 to $35,92512mixed
Rolex Oyster Perpetual 36 126000$9,000$9,000 to $14,30012full set
Rolex GMT-Master II “Batgirl” 126710BLNR$18,250$16,650 to $18,72511mixed
Rolex Sky-Dweller 336934$24,375$23,688 to $25,28810about half full set
Rolex Cosmograph Daytona 116500LN$27,500$23,400 to $27,5009mostly watch-only
Rolex Milgauss 116400GV$10,850$10,850 to $14,4509mixed
Rolex Day-Date 40 228235$62,000$59,988 to $62,0008mostly full set
Rolex Day-Date 40 228238$43,300$41,800 to $49,4618about half full set
Rolex GMT-Master II 126713GRNR$22,500$22,5007mostly box+papers
Vacheron Constantin Overseas Dual Time 47450$18,000$17,900 to $20,4857mixed
Median asks by reference, with the middle-half range and the one stated buyer budget.

Notable listings at the top of the market

The Cosmograph Daytona 126528LN with box and papers is listed at $185,000. The Patek Philippe Nautilus 5990/1A is at $151,500. The Audemars Piguet Royal Oak Perpetual Calendar 26574ST asks $110,250 and the Royal Oak Offshore 77605CB asks $79,800.

The Day-Date 40 228236 full set is at $77,900. The Sky-Dweller 336935 full set asks $69,500, nearly 2.9 times the $24,375 median on the Sky-Dweller 336934. The Land-Dweller 40 127335 is listed at $57,995.

At the other end, a TAG Heuer Carrera Chronograph CV201AP is listed at $2,250.

What buyers are asking for

Rolex holds the top five model slots: Datejust at 97 mentions, Submariner at 73, GMT-Master II at 62, Cosmograph Daytona at 46 and Day-Date at 44. Oyster Perpetual adds 35 more at rank 8. Audemars Piguet Royal Oak and Omega Seamaster follow at 39 each, then Omega Speedmaster at 31 and Tudor Black Bay at 29.

Wanted posts are a small share: 26 post occurrences across 18 distinct wants. About half are Rolex. Three Daytona references are on the list (116500LN, 116589BR, 126500LN), plus the Submariner Date 126610LN, the Batgirl, the GMT-Master II 126711CHNR and the Day-Date 40 228235. Outside Rolex, the wants include the Audemars Piguet Royal Oak 15400ST, the Aquanaut 5167R and the Black Bay GMT 79830RB.

Sellers are open on terms. 136 post occurrences mention trades as welcome, open or considered. 6 distinct listings carry price-cut framing across 11 post occurrences, but none states a prior price, so there is no cut amount to report.

How we read the market: figures come from for-sale and wanted-to-buy posts in the buy and sell groups we follow during the period shown. Medians use posts with a stated price or budget, and the same watch can appear in more than one group. This is a read on the market, not an appraisal, price quote or financial advice.

Photo by Filipp Romanovski on Unsplash.